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Murphy Lake

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Unit Information

Washington 
Everett, 
98201 
Washington 
Everett, 
98201 

Incident Contacts

Fire Information
Email: 2022.murphylake@firenet.gov
Phone: 208-380-6981
Hours: 8am to 8pm
Fire Information
Email: 2022.boltcreek@firenet.gov
Phone: 360-370-4170
Fire Information
Phone: 360-677-2414
Hours: M-F 8am to 430pm

Estimated Acres: 444

Cause:  Lightning

Total Personnel:  1

Resources: Personnel assigned to the Bolt Creek Fire are monitoring and prepared to respond if needed

Basic Information
Current as of Fri, 10/21/2022 - 04:02
Incident Type Wildfire
Cause Natural - Lightning
Date of Origin
Location West of the Murphy Lakes area.
Incident Commander Leonard Johnson
Incident Description Wildfire
Coordinates 47° 40' 54'' Latitude
-121° 7'
59
'' Longitude
Current Situation
Total Personnel: 1
Size 444 Acres
Percent of Perimeter Contained 0%
Estimated Containment Date 2022-10-31 00:00:00
Fuels Involved

Timber (Litter and Understory) Closed Timber Litter

Fuels in the fire area consist of timber litter under a dense conifer canopy; and timber with an understory of dormant shrubs and small conifer. Heavy surface fuel concentrations and large snags are present across the area. Live fuels (shrubs) occupy some adjacent slopes and avalanche chutes. Live fuels are becoming available to burn, with leaves turning brown and red.

Significant Events

Active
Creeping
Smoldering

A Cool, cloudy, moist day with a smoke inversion over the incident maintained areas of smoldering fire behavior. An abrupt change in the weather pattern will occur as rain and higher-elevation snow showers expand and intensify through Friday. Forecast rainfall amounts and duration will be sufficient to diminish fire threat and result in limited smoldering in heavy fuels.

Outlook
Planned Actions

The FBAN and Operations Section Chief from the Bolt Creek fire will fly the fire tomorrow to gain situational awareness to aid in developing strategic, operational planning.

Projected Incident Activity

12 hours:
Very smokey conditions in lower portions of the fire area with light winds and an inversion maintained pockets of persistent smoldering and creeping fire spread across portions of the fire, with isolated pockets of surface fire and flare-ups. Continued isolated interior consolidation of unburned islands and pockets of fuel in remote high-elevation areas. Heavy fuels continue to retain heat across the fire area due to persistent dry conditions. Aggressive suppression activities continue to produce areas that are now secure from fire activity.

24 hours:
Abrupt weather pattern change brings significant precipitation and high-elevation snow showers throughout the day. Fire behavior will be reduced to isolated smoldering heavy fuels (stump holes, log ends). No fire activity is expected with the change in weather.

48 hours:
Major weather pattern change with continuing rainfall and high elevation snow accumulations of 2" - 4" above 4000'. Fire behavior will diminish to smoldering. Heavy fuels and deep duff will continue to retain heat due to seasonal dryness.

72 hours:
Waves of rain and mountain snow showers, with fewer heat sources.

Anticipated after 72 hours:
Onshore flow from the west and southwest will continue to bring a steady stream of Pacific moisture into the area through next week. No fire activity is anticipated.

Remarks

At this time closure of the Pacific Crest Trail in the area of the fire.

Current Weather
Weather Concerns

An approaching storm system and cold front brought widespread cloud cover, rising humidity through the afternoon, and a few light rain showers to the area. Along with light winds, the cloud cover helped maintain smoky valley conditions and poor visibility and air quality through the afternoon.

A significant weather pattern change will occur Friday as a storm system brings colder temperatures in the 30s and 40s, a modest onshore wind from the west, and expanding valley rain and high elevation snow above 4000 feet. The heaviest rain will occur Friday afternoon into Friday night with at least an inch of rain, with localized amounts approaching 2 inches expected through Saturday morning.

A brief break in the persistent rain is expected Sunday, along with a slight warmup to the 50s in some valleys. The active, more fall-like weather pattern returns late Sunday with several waves of rain through the middle of next week.